Week 3: Time series decomposition

What you will learn this week

  • Transforming data to remove some sources of variation
  • Decomposing a time series into trend-cycle, seasonal and remainder components
  • Seasonal adjustment

Pre-class activities

Read Chapter 3 of the textbook and watch all embedded videos

Slides for seminar

Download pdf

Workshop activities

Seminar Code

Tutorial exercises

NoteTutorial Learning Objectives
  1. Visualise and assess time series transformations.
    • Create appropriate graphs for multiple time series and apply transformations when needed.
  2. Evaluate the usefulness Box–Cox transformations.
    • Able to explain when and why a Box–Cox transformation is or is not helpful for a given dataset.
  3. Apply time series decomposition techniques.
    • Able to decompose a time series into trend, seasonal, and remainder components using STL decomposition and interpret the results.

Assignments

  • GA1 is due on Tuesday 24 March.
  • IA2 is due on Thursday 02 April.

Weekly quiz